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- By Julie Myers
- 15 May 2026
Following a crucial victory at the Lusail Grand Prix, the reigning world champion has substantially closed the gap in the driver's standings. He now finds himself just 12 points behind leader McLaren's Lando Norris and in front of teammate Oscar Piastri, the scene is set for a electrifying three-way title decider at the iconic Yas Marina Circuit.
Verstappen's Qatar win was far from predictable. Even though he delivered a superb drive for his team, the victory was heavily influenced by a costly strategic decision from the McLaren team. Opting to stay on track during an early safety car period, McLaren inadvertently handed the race lead to their rival, who seized the moment perfectly.
"I'm thrilled, I'm eager to go there and have a go at it," he stated. "My mindset is with just good vibes. I try everything I can but simultaneously, even without the title, I still know that I had an incredible season."
This perspective according to him takes a lot of the weight of expectation. The aim for the last race is simple: to extract each opportunity from himself and the RB21.
The incredible part of Verstappen's late-season charge particularly notable is the distance he has fought back. Following the Zandvoort round in August, he was a staggering over a century of points behind the championship leader his rival and had openly dismissed his championship hopes.
The shift began with substantial car developments introduced by Red Bull at the Italian Grand Prix. Adjustments to the vehicle's underbody and aerodynamic package solved ongoing performance deficits, allowing Verstappen to feel comfortable with the chassis once more.
From then on, his performance has been completely formidable, racking up five wins and multiple podiums. He was eager to highlight the unified work behind this resurgence.
"We have triumphed where maybe we shouldn't have, by executing the correct decision as a group," he noted. "The partnership with my team on the pit wall and the whole team... we are deeply connected."
As the teams arrive in Abu Dhabi, the points situation is crystal clear.
The spotlight now shifts on the papaya-colored cars, who have watched a comfortable advantage disappear due to costly errors, including a exclusion for both cars in Las Vegas. For Verstappen, this position brings a sense of freedom, transforming the final race into a straight chance to go for glory with zero pressure.
Marlon Vance is a seasoned sports analyst with over a decade of experience in betting markets, specializing in data-driven predictions and strategy development.